Li (2020)
Risk factors for severity and mortality in adult COVID-19 inpatients in Wuhan
32294485
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7152876/pdf/main.pdf
Patient characteristics
Age (>=65 years vs. <65 years)
COVID-19 (death)
Hazard ratio: 1.720 (1.090-2.730) Adjusted model

China

Ambispective cohort study

Medical records

269

Patients with severe COVID-19 admitted to Tongji Hospital from January 26, 2020 to February 5, 2020 were retrospectively enrolled and followed-up until March 3, 2020.

A total of 549 patients with COVID-19 were enrolled, of whom 548 cases were included in the study. One case not meeting inclusion criteria was excluded due to inclusion criteria. Almost half of the patients (49.1%, 269 of 548) were identified as severe cases and 50.9% (279 of 548) were nonsevere cases on admission. 68.7% (347 of 505) of cases were positive for SARS-CoV-2 nucleic acid test pre-admission. Elder age, underlying hypertension, high cytokine levels (IL-2R, IL-6, IL-10, and TNF-a), and high LDH level were significantly associated with severe COVID-19 on admission. High-dose corticosteroid use was related to high risk of death. The levels of procalcitonin, globulin, lactate dehydrogenase (LDH), NT-proB-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP), d-dimer, alanine aminotransferase, aspartate aminotransferase, total bilirubin, conjugated bilirubin, blood urea nitrogen, and creatinine were elevated in 9.5%, 40.4%, 73.6%, 27.5%, 67.4%, 23.1%, 33.1%, 4.4%, 9.2%, 15.8%, and 27.1% of all patients, respectively. Serum cytokine levels of IL-2R, IL-6, IL-10, and TNF-? were significantly higher in severe patients than those in nonsevere patients.

Mean

32 Day


COVID-19 (death)

87

Death due to COVID-19


Patient characteristics

Age

The median age of study population was 60 years (IQR 48-69), ranging from 18 years to 95 years, of whom 210 (38.3%) were aged 65 years or older. The patients aged 65 years or older in severe cases wer

<65 years

>=65 years


Hazard ratio

1.720 (1.090-2.730)

No

Yes

Yes

The final model was adjusted for sex, age, blood leukocyte count, lactose dehydrogenase, cardiac injury, hyperglycemia, and administration of corticosteroids, lopinavir/ritonavir, and umifenovir.


Patients with elder age, hypertension, and high LDH level need careful observation and early intervention to prevent the potential development of severe COVID-19. Severe male patients with heart injury, hyperglycemia, and high-dose corticosteroid use may have high risk of death.

Good

Yes