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Article data
Bi (2020)
Epidemiology and transmission of COVID-19 in 391 cases and 1286 of their close contacts in Shenzhen, China: a retrospective cohort study
https://doi.org/10.1016/S1473-3099(20)30287-5
https://www.thelancet.com/pdfs/journals/laninf/PIIS1473-3099(20)30287-5.pdf

Results
Patient characteristics
Contact history (Travelling with a case vs. No)
SARS COV-2 infection
Odds ratio: 7.060 (1.430-34.910) Adjusted model

Study characteristics

China

Retrospective cohort study

Medical records

1677

391 SARS-CoV-2 cases and 1286 close contacts in Shenzhen, China

The mean age of the population was 45 years, and 307 (79%) of 391 cases were adults aged 30–69 years. At the time of first clinical assessment, most cases were mild (102 [26%] of 391) or moderate (254 [65%] of 391), and only 35 (9%) were severe. 330 (84%) of 391 cases had fever at the time of initial assessment, while 25 (6%) of 391 had no signs or symptoms. As of Feb 22, 2020, final clinical outcomes were known for 228 of 391 cases, with three who had died (all captured through symptom-based surveillance) and 225 who had recovered.

Mean

12 Day


Results

SARS COV-2 infection

391

Suspected cases and close contacts were tested for SARS-CoV-2 by RT-PCR of nasal swabs. SARS-CoV-2 transmission by estimating key values, such as the household secondary attack rate, serial interval, and observed reproductive number (R).

Patient characteristics

Contact history

travelling with a case were at higher risk of infection

No

Travelling with a case

Odds ratio

7.060 (1.430-34.910)

No

Yes

Yes

Contact type - household, travel, meal


Other information

Infected and uninfected close contacts provide key insights into the epidemiology of SARS-CoV-2. Isolation and contact tracing reduce the time during which cases are infectious in the community, thereby reducing the reproductive number.

Good

Yes

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